And then one night you go in

Biblical Floods in South Carolina

cheap moncler jackets sale Thousand Year Rain Event Swamps South Carolina cheap moncler jackets sale

26.88 inches of rain just fell at Boone Hall Plantation, South Carolina in about 3 days. That’s 2 hurricanes worth of rain; roughly the amount of precipitation MSP sees in an entire YEAR!

Weather systems stalled; a nearly stationary, 3 day firehose of tropical moisture https://www.moncleronlineoutlet.com from “Joaquin” focused on the Carolinas. When the weather stalls bad things cheap moncler sale often result, in this case historic, unprecedented rains.

moncler sale I’ve seen a few conspiracy theories, suggesting a government cover cheap moncler outlet up: “HAARP weather modification gone bad”. Uh huh. is run by a race of lizard people. moncler sale

moncler outlet jackets Well, that last one may be true. moncler outlet jackets

Extreme rains are on the rise. For the record, Minnesota has experienced 4 separate 1 in 1,000 year flash flood events since 2004.

The mercury moncler outlet store flirts with 70F today Wednesday; 80F is not out of the question Sunday. Technically we can’t call it Indian Summer until the first frost, which may moncler mens jackets be 2 weeks away by my calculations.

Rain settles the dust Thursday; otherwise dry with a mild bias. It’s still October, right? Just checking.

moncler outlet sale Birmingham TV meteorologist James Spann (highlighted in a tweet above) is a living legend, not only in Alabama, but across much of the USA. He knosw his stuff and updates a daily weather blog. moncler outlet sale

The Meteorology Behind South Carolina’s Catastrophic 1,000 Year Rainfall Event. This system drew in a deep, tropical plume of water vapor off the tropical Atlantic Ocean. At the same time, this upper level low pressure system tapped into the moist outflow of Hurricane Joaquin. The moisture pipeline fed directly into a pocket of intense uplift on the northern side of the non tropicalvortex. Within this dynamic “sweet spot,” thunderstormsestablished a training pattern,passing repeatedly over the same locationandcreating a narrow corridor of torrential rain stretching from Charleston to the southern Appalachians.”

Map credit above: “A preliminary map of rainfall totals, estimated from radar, shows the vast extent of the deluge across most of South Carolina and parts of coastal North Carolina. Many people literally assume it means this event “can only” happen every 1000 years (in the case of a 1000 year event). Here is what it actually means as described on theNOAA National Center for Environmental Information (NCEI, but formerly NCDC) webpage:

moncler factory outlet it is a statistical way of expressing the probability of something happening in any given moncler outlet sale year. A “100 year” storm event has moncler sale outlet a one in one hundred or 1% chance of happening in any given year. A “500 year” event has a one in five hundred or.2% chance of happening in any year. moncler factory outlet

moncler outlet uk South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley: Floods are Regions “Worst in 1,000 Years”. I’ve seen other references to a 1 in 1,000 year rainfall event for portions of South Carolina, as much as 24″ in a few spots as of Monday morning; 3 4 month’s worth of rain falling in the better part of 3 days. Here’s a clip from The Guardian: “South Carolina governor Nikki Haley paused in efforts to cope with the record breaking rain that hit her state over the weekend to say the resultant floods were “the worst in a thousand years”. “This is the worst flooding in the lowcountry [the region around the South Carolina coast] for a thousand years, that’s how big this is,” Haley said at a Sunday afternoon press conference. “That’s what South Carolina is dealing with right now. 4, 2015. East Coast brought more misery Sunday to South Carolina, cutting power to thousands, forcing hundreds of water rescues and closing many roads because of floodwaters.” (AP Photo/Chuck Burton). moncler outlet uk

South Carolina Flood is 6th, 1000 Year Rain since 2010. since 2010, a trendthat may be linked tofactorsranging from the natural,suchas a strong El Nio,to theman made, namely climate change. So many “1 in 1,000 year” rainfallsis unprecedented, said meteorologistSteve Bowen of Aon Benfield, a global reinsurance firm.”We have certainly had our fair share in the United States in recent years, andany increasing trend in these type of rainfall events is highly concerning,” Bowen said.” (File photo: USGS).

moncler outlet store How To moncler outlet online Survive a Flood. As it turns out, the CDC reports that half of all flood drownings happen when a vehicle is driven into hazardous floodwater. As mentioned above, 12 inches of moving water can take a small car; two feet will sweep away a larger vehicle. People think they can pass a puddle in the road, only to have their car stall and then. whoosh. Geological monlcer down jackets Survey/flickr moncler outlet store

Flood Insurance: 5 Things You Need to Know When The Water Hits. NBC News provides perspective, including the fact that most homeowner’s insurance policies don’t cover flooding, as amazing as that is to ponder. That’s great, but unfortunately, your policy probably doesn’t cover flooding. “The thing is, flooding is Moncler Outlet excluded under a standard homeowner’s insurance policy,” said Loretta Worters, VP of Communications for the Insurance Information Institute. “It’s really something that everyone should think about. And if you cheap moncler jackets don’t live in a high risk area, you’re not going to pay much, anyway.” (File photo: AP).

moncler outlet Belated Reprieve for the Carolinas. NOAA’s 7 Day rainfall forecast shows a drying trend for the East Coast, the best chance of half an inch or more of rain over far northern Minnesota and Wisconsin. moncler outlet

Relatively Mild Into Monday. The GFS model drags colder air south of the border early next week (we’re due for a real cool front). The best chance of showers comes on Thursday of this week otherwise it’s a basically dry forecast buy moncler jackets into mid October. Source: NOAA.

1 PM Sunday. Models show a ridge of warm high pressure that might feel moncler outlet right at home in early September by Sunday, October 11 70s pushing into Duluth and Bemidji; with an outside shot at 80F over southern Minnesota Sunday afternoon. Not too shabby considering the sun is as high in the sky as it was the first week of March. Source: NOAA and AerisWeather.

moncler jacket sale Where’s The Frost? The graphic above shows predicted temperatures looking out 16 days; nighttime lows mostly in the 40s. I still think there’s at least a chance of a frost by the middle of next week, but no rude Canadian smacks of (really cold) air are brewing. moncler jacket sale

moncler sale outlet Record Warm September, Statewide? Here’s an excerpt of the latest HydroClim update from Greg Spoden, Minnesota State Climatologist: moncler sale “Average monthly temperatures for September were well above historical averages across Minnesota. Preliminary data indicate that the statewide average temperature for September 2015 was nearly six degrees above normal and may set an all time high record for the month. Extremes for September ranged from a high of 94 degrees F at Marshall (Lyon County) on the 3rd, to a low of 18 degrees F in Isabella (Lake County) on the 29th. moncler sale outlet

moncler jackets outlet The October precipitation outlook tilts towards below normal conditions for all Minnesota counties. Normal October precipitation ranges from one and one half inches in northwestern Minnesota, to over two and one half inches in portions of northeastern Minnesota. moncler jackets outlet

moncler outlet online [see: Climate Prediction Center 30 day Outlook October Precipitation Normal Map] The October temperature outlook favors above normal conditions across Minnesota. Normal October high temperatures fall from the low to mid 60s early in the month, to the upper 40s by month’s end. Normal October low temperatures drop from the low 40s early in the month to near 30 by late October.” (Map above: Midwest Regional Climate Center). moncler outlet online

cheap moncler coats WATCH: Killer Tornado Tears Through Chinese Town. Pretty amazing footage; tornadoes formed in the outer cheap moncler spiral bands of a landfalling typhoon details via Daily Star: “The amazing footage captures the huge twister wreaking havoc in the southern Chinese province of Guangdong (Sunday) afternoon. It came hours after after Typhoon Mujigae landed in the region sparking off a series of tornados. Videos of the terryifying 300 ft twister began appearing online as frightened residents took cover.” cheap moncler coats

cheap moncler jackets Meet The International Ice Patrol: Stopping Ships From Running into Icebergs Since 1913. I had no idea. The Canadian Ice Service is charged with understanding ice conditions in Canada’s navigable waters, which include parts of the Arctic Ocean, and the vast and remote nature of that region means that it’s almost impossible to survey with planes alone. But there are different types of ice to spy on: sea ice frozen ocean water is relatively easy to distinguish from above. Icebergs are whole different story. “We’re looking for a tiny moving dot in the ocean,” says Hicks.” (File photo credit: Wikimedia). cheap moncler jackets

cheap moncler outlet Not What I Ordered: How El Nino Is Like a Bad Bartender. Great analogy. Or maybe a good bartender with a very bad memory. Bottom line: it’s dangerous to generalize; every El Nino is different. And, it will very likely take its place among the pantheon of El Nios of the last 60 70 years. But the expectations in some places aren’t as cut and dried as you might think. Let’s say you have a favorite establishment, where everybody knows your name, and they bring you “your” beverage on sight. And then one night you go in, and based upon your past experience, you sorta expect the bartender to bring you your favorite beer. Instead, maybe he unexpectedly brings you a warmer than normal beer, or even a wine cooler. El Nio is like that bartender. Seeing him when you walk in may tilt your odds toward getting your favorite beer, but it’s not a guarantee. In other words, sometimes El Nio is the bartender who doesn’t bring you what you ordered.” cheap moncler outlet.

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